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The European Commission has just released the long awaited new report on the modelling of indirect land use change using IFPRI’s MIRAGE economic model (http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2011/october/tradoc_148289.pdf). The paper adopts a new scenario based on the National Renewable Energy Action Plans and applies several model improvements, to update both the overall conclusions of the modelling published last summer and the marginal iLUC factors for individual feedstocks.
Carbon intensity of biofuel feedstocks in the EU: Direct carbon emissions from the Renewable Energy Directive defaults; indirect emissions from the new IFPRI study (revised to include the ICCT's higher estimate of peat emissions).
Here are a few key points from the new study: